Polymarket Trader

0x78db9fc80e47ecfb548dEA50Ef43b9529D3734e1-1767992477152

0x78db9fc80e47ecfb548dea50ef43b9529d3734e1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.24K
Realized PnL: $2.34K
Win rate: 46.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.44K
Potential profit: $43.44K
User PnL: -$99.99

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $12.5K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $47.79
Potential payout: $7.35K
Potential profit: $7.3K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $3.68

Yes position

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.94K
Potential profit: $4.94K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $258.55
Potential payout: $4.92K
Potential profit: $4.67K
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: $58.55

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23K
Potential profit: $3.23K
User PnL: -$549.99

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $2.63K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$98.68

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $83.46
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $2.03K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$16.54

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $1.64K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.53K
User PnL: -$64.16

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $212.79
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $12.79

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.27K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $89.17
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $991.63
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: -$10.83

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $46
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $954
Multiplier: 21.74x
User PnL: -$54

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $116
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $684
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$84

Yes position

Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $33.54
Potential payout: $753.77
Potential profit: $720.23
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$116.46

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $735.33
Potential profit: $735.33
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.6%
Current value: $186.13
Potential payout: $728.48
Potential profit: $542.35
Multiplier: 3.91x
User PnL: -$1.99

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $652.78
Potential profit: $652.78
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $103.13
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $521.88
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $3.13

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $588.71
Potential profit: $588.71
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $571.43
Potential profit: $571.43
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $62.41
Potential payout: $542.66
Potential profit: $480.25
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$137.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $980.16

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $542.73

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.88

Heat position

Pistons vs. Heat

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.01

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.78

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.39

Yes position

Will Maxx Crosby play for Dallas Cowboys next?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$28.2

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.7%
Multiplier: 11.49x
User PnL: -$39.88

Yes position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: -$43.61

Yes position

Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$63.34

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$72.7

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$103.93

Yes position

Will Maxx Crosby play for Chicago Bears next?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$199.29

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.6% 3,765 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 2.3% 1,086.95 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.6% 3,586.67 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Yes 7.1% 317.96 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Yes 19.6% 317.96 shares
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Yes 19.9% 753.77 shares
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Yes 28.4% 198.44 shares
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Yes 50.4% 198.45 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Alex Pereira 55% 181.82 shares
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 28.5% 350.88 shares
Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Yes 38% 263.16 shares
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Yes 2% 4,943.11 shares