Polymarket Trader

polgu

0x78eeae29daba7477601e80f1d741c355f00d486b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $869.24
Realized PnL: $206.55
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $869.24
Potential payout: $869.24
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $34.77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.76

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.04

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.86

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.43

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.06

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.71

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.01

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

No position

Pump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

Yes position

2025 January hottest on record?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.3%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Pam Bondi confirmed as Attorney General?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Scott Turner confirmed as HUD Secretary?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 96% 869.24 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 95.8% 701.38 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Down 98% 1.02 shares
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?

No 99.9% 300.3 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

No 92% 108.66 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Up 98% 1.02 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 90% 111.11 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 91% 21.98 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 97.2% 858.41 shares
Maduro out in 2025?

No 99.4% 213 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

No 98.8% 839.44 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

No 98.6% 839.44 shares