Polymarket Trader

0x78f3Bf9F0954AfB26df8e44298d68Bf5bc3E6517-1771123877041

0x78f3bf9f0954afb26df8e44298d68bf5bc3e6517

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $176.2
Realized PnL: $655.32
Win rate: 77.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $2.33K
User PnL: -$34

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Argentina?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $24.55
Potential payout: $892.86
Potential profit: $868.3
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $862.07
Potential profit: $862.07
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $15.39
Potential payout: $789.47
Potential profit: $774.08
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $0.39

BNK FEARX position

LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $667.67
Potential profit: $667.67
User PnL: -$56.26

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $551.47
Potential profit: $551.47
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $526.32
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $476.19
Potential profit: $476.19
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $15.21
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $401.46
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$24.79

Yes position

Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $22.4
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $377.6
Multiplier: 17.86x
User PnL: -$17.6

Over position

England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $33.25
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $316.75
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.75

Croatia position

Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $335.84
Potential profit: $335.84
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Senegal?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.58
Potential profit: $322.58
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$84

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.3%
Current value: $51.11
Potential payout: $265.49
Potential profit: $214.38
Multiplier: 5.19x
User PnL: $21.11

Yes position

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $5.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $244.88
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Ecuador?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $217.39
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.5
Potential profit: $198.5
User PnL: -$11.91

Yes position

Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $9.17
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $157.5
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.83

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.87

No position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.58

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.29

No position

Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.94

Yes position

Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.63

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.74

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.8

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.35

Yes position

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.55

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.33

Yes position

Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.19

Yes position

Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.55

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

No position

Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$35.76

Dplus KIA position

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$80

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance

46% 105.91 shares
Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Argentina?

Yes 11% 90.91 shares
Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina?

Yes 6% 166.67 shares
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?

Yes 2% 250 shares
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?

Yes 6% 83.33 shares
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?

Yes 1.9% 789.47 shares
Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Argentina?

Yes 2.8% 892.86 shares
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5

Over 10% 350 shares
Jude Bellingham: 2+ assists AND Norway vs. England: O/U 11.5 Total Corners AND Erling Haaland: 1+ goals AND Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?

1% 476 shares
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Norway vs. England: Team to Advance AND Erling Haaland: 1+ goals

21.1% 225.82 shares
Harry Kane: 1+ goals AND Erling Haaland: 1+ goals AND Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

4.3% 887.67 shares
Harry Kane: 1+ goals AND Erling Haaland: 1+ goals AND Norway vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND Will England win on 2026-07-11?

8.1% 293.76 shares