Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $5.54
- Potential profit
- $4.52
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Polymarket Trader
0x78fb...ce55
0x78fb75d62060ee0dba2af182af43620f71ffce55
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $28.72
- Realized PnL
- $0.18
- Win rate
- 69.2%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $1.93
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $2.41
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $2.24
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $2.11
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $1.86
- Potential payout
- $4.08
- Potential profit
- $2.22
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $1.72
- Potential payout
- $3.05
- Potential profit
- $1.33
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $1.67
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.34
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $1.23
- Potential payout
- $2.77
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $2.27
- Potential payout
- $2.53
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $2.53
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $2.36
- Potential payout
- $2.53
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $2.19
- Potential payout
- $2.53
- Potential profit
- $0.34
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $1.9
- Potential payout
- $2.53
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $1.61
- Potential payout
- $2.03
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $1.57
- Potential payout
- $2.03
- Potential profit
- $0.46
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will Warsh say "All-Time High" or "All-Time Low" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
N
No position
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.08
No position
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $180 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No 75.1% 2.53 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No 80% 2.5 shares
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes 80% 2.03 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes 47% 3 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 10?Down 74% 2.68 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?No 77% 2.53 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No 80% 2.03 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No 79% 2.53 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 36% 3 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 58.6% 3.02 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 52% 3.06 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Yes 75% 2.53 shares