Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $964.29
- Potential payout
- $71.43K
- Potential profit
- $70.46K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$35.64
Polymarket Trader
Alexanderwolf
@alphatophunter
0x793864991fe8835fc546eeabed81d92c1469e2dc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $972.92
- Realized PnL
- $11.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Over position
Spurs vs. Magic: O/U 235.5
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $5.56K
- User PnL
- -$2.89K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.73K
- Potential profit
- $2.73K
- User PnL
- -$100
Over position
Spurs vs. Magic: O/U 236.5
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- User PnL
- -$940
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $8.64
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $82.27
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$11.36
Knicks position
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.07
- Potential profit
- $2.07
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Celtics position
Knicks vs. Celtics
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2K
Spurs position
Spread: Magic (-8.5)
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.59K
Over position
Nuggets vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5
Ends Dec 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $927.12
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.9
No position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.31
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.55
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.43
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.32
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.77
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.71
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.91
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.02
Yes position
Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.71
No position
Will o1 launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.74
Yes position
o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.4% 35,714.29 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.4% 35,714.29 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 12.1% 117.64 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 23.4% 79.36 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.4% 116.95 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.1% 116.96 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 17% 117.65 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 25.2% 79.37 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 22% 90.91 shares
- o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 66% 743.13 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No 99.4% 503.12 shares
- o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 85.2% 35.07 shares