Yes position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $39.75
- Potential payout
- $530
- Potential profit
- $490.25
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$39.75
Polymarket Trader
Yellowom
0x794deb71c3a8e8d4063a1959dbb7eac453a88c8b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $380.72
- Realized PnL
- $256.09
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.99
- Potential profit
- $119.99
- User PnL
- -$2.76
No position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $21.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $78.5
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Anthropic position
Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- -$3.75
Yes position
Netanyahu out by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $68
- Potential profit
- $67.63
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.33
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $64
- Potential payout
- $64
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $54.6
- Potential payout
- $54.6
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $21
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $19
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$13.8
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $29.18
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $25.06
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $2.94
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $26.85
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $23.13
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $1.88
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.14
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $15.24
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $8.76
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$3.48
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $24
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $17.94
- Potential payout
- $19.5
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $15.96
- Potential profit
- $15.58
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.33
No position
OpenAI acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $14.42
- Potential payout
- $15.51
- Potential profit
- $1.09
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $11.7
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$7.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.19
Yes position
US bank failure by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.9
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.52
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $14.33
No position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.6
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid launch a token in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.5
Republican position
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.73
Yes position
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.18
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
No position
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.23
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.2
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
No position
Will Han Dong-hoon be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
No position
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.64
Yes position
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
No position
Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38
No position
Will the US Government sell Bitcoin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Kamala Harris blowout victory?
Ends Dec 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
No position
Will TikTok be banned again before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 99.1% 64 shares
- Netanyahu out by July 31?Yes 2.5% 68 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 98.6% 27 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 99.1% 54.6 shares
- Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?Yes 95.7% 14 shares
- Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?Anthropic 5% 25 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?Yes 99.8% 23.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 89% 28.66 shares
- Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?No 89% 19.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 39% 28.66 shares
- Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?Yes 0.8% 321.99 shares
- Will Cho Sangho win the 2026 Sejong mayoral election?Yes 95.4% 16 shares