Polymarket Trader

ab2010

0x794ee00b25562168a7cd57153fde97eec0d1b978

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $22.04
Realized PnL: $1.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.65
Potential profit: $140.65
User PnL: -$6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.44
Potential profit: $119.44
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.15
Potential profit: $115.15
User PnL: -$6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.33
Potential profit: $41.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $3.52
Potential payout: $31.26
Potential profit: $27.74
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: -$1.48

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.24
Potential profit: $29.24
User PnL: -$8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.67
Potential profit: $26.67
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $22.5
Potential profit: $22.05
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$2.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.1
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.54
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$4.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 50.9%
Current value: $6.88
Potential payout: $13.51
Potential profit: $6.64
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $5.88

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $13.46
Potential profit: $13.42
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.81
Potential profit: $12.81
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $3.95
Potential payout: $10.26
Potential profit: $6.31
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$0.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $3.32
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $4.68
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $1.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.94
Potential profit: $7.94
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $1.9
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $2.27
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$0.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.9

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98

No position

Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.67

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.14

Yes position

Trump x Xi talk before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.67

Yes position

Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.47

Yes position

Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.52

Yes position

US strike on Syria by December 19?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.23

Yes position

Will PSG beat Inter Milan in the first half?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.88

Yes position

US military action against Iran by Sunday?

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.81

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Down 35% 8.57 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 29% 17.24 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 40% 12.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Up 11% 9.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Down 48% 4.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Up 15% 26.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Up 15% 27.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Up 18% 27.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Up 7% 14.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Down 7% 14.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Up 63% 7.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Up 1% 100 shares