No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $203.72
- Potential payout
- $261.18
- Potential profit
- $57.46
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $90.82
Polymarket Trader
lakatosnapoleon
0x7957c850ca3ae06364dbf88382dc6beb85e8ddbc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.3K
- Realized PnL
- $1.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Noble FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $198.61
- Potential payout
- $216
- Potential profit
- $17.39
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.21
No position
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $80.35
- Potential payout
- $203.41
- Potential profit
- $123.06
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$25.24
No position
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $171.2
- Potential payout
- $197.92
- Potential profit
- $26.72
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $93.34
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $21.87
- Potential payout
- $179.97
- Potential profit
- $158.1
- Multiplier
- 8.23x
- User PnL
- -$8.52
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $153.84
- Potential payout
- $169.99
- Potential profit
- $16.15
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $12.14
N
No position
Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $148.76
- Potential payout
- $163.47
- Potential profit
- $14.71
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.37
No position
Relay FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $137.6
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $22.4
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $97.2
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $22.8
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $8.16
No position
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 54.2%
- Current value
- $63.42
- Potential payout
- $117.01
- Potential profit
- $53.59
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- -$5.45
No position
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $104.13
- Potential payout
- $117
- Potential profit
- $12.87
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $17.95
No position
Relay FDV above $900M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $101.01
- Potential payout
- $108.38
- Potential profit
- $7.37
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $92.84
- Potential payout
- $100.97
- Potential profit
- $8.13
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $18.89
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $88.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $11.5
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $11.35
No position
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $75.17
- Potential payout
- $90.02
- Potential profit
- $14.85
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $17.86
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $84.19
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $5.81
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $76.95
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $13.05
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $57.94
No position
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $54.06
- Potential payout
- $73.55
- Potential profit
- $19.49
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $65.45
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $8.25
No position
Noble FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $67.83
- Potential payout
- $69.86
- Potential profit
- $2.03
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Neutrl FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $59.59
- Potential payout
- $61.59
- Potential profit
- $2
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $59.48
- Potential payout
- $61
- Potential profit
- $1.52
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.21
N
No position
Will Prime Intellect launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $50.32
- Potential payout
- $61
- Potential profit
- $10.68
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
No position
Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $47.93
- Potential payout
- $52.1
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.99
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $86.1
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.89
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.23
No position
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.77
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.45
No position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.66
No position
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $48.57
No position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.33
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.92
Yes position
Ethereum flipped in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.8
Leo Team position
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.99
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.83
No position
Will Hyperbeat launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.72
No position
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.04
No position
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $37.56
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.01
No position
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 86.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $36.96
No position
Linea airdrop in Q2 2025?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.63
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.4
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.66
Yes position
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.04
No position
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.26
No position
Will Exponent launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Relay FDV above $700M one day after launch?No 90% 5 shares
- Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?No 38% 13 shares
- Relay FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 94% 4.99 shares
- Noble FDV above $700M one day after launch?No 91% 5 shares
- Ethereal FDV above $2B one day after launch?No 98.7% 30 shares
- Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?No 30.9% 17.34 shares
- Will OnRe launch a token by September 30, 2026?No 90% 21 shares
- Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 97.6% 31 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 93% 70 shares
- Neutrl FDV above $700M one day after launch?No 93.9% 10.9 shares
- Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 95.2% 3.15 shares
- Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 93.6% 27.21 shares