No position
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $2.21
- Potential payout
- $2.89
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Polymarket Trader
darren66
0x79581527a8159065bdc828488e42d9a7f84956d4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.21
- Realized PnL
- $1.39
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $30 on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on November 5?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $124,000 on November 3?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Giants position
Giants vs. Raiders
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on November 5?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Suns position
Clippers vs. Suns
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on November 3?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the price of Solana be less than $40 on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the price of Solana be greater than $130 on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Yes position
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.39
Jets position
Dolphins vs. Jets
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Yes position
Will F1® 25 win VR Game of the Year at the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.48
Chargers position
Texans vs. Chargers
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.51
Yes position
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No 80% 2.89 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No 63% 2.52 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?Yes 44% 4.66 shares
- Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes 22.5% 6.18 shares
- Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?No 64% 1.63 shares
- Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?No 19% 6.53 shares
- Giants vs. RaidersGiants 52% 2.19 shares
- Texans vs. ChargersChargers 54% 4.65 shares
- Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes 75% 3.45 shares
- Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?No 79.7% 1.48 shares
- Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes 72% 2.53 shares
- Will F1® 25 win VR Game of the Year at the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes 79% 3.14 shares