Polymarket Trader

stephenzhang

0x795b9638a4d3b907e3506e8df02f60df7cf1432d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $37.06
Realized PnL: $1.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $99.98
User PnL: -$25.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 50.9%
Current value: $37.06
Potential payout: $72.81
Potential profit: $35.75
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $50.01
User PnL: -$9.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$6.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.87
Potential profit: $19.87
User PnL: -$17.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.35
Potential profit: $7.35
User PnL: -$4.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.25

No position

Maduro mugshot released by January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.83

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 52.8% 2.81 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 53.2% 70 shares
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

Over 44% 227.27 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Yes 34% 57.44 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Yes 56% 57.44 shares
Spread: France (-1.5)

France 68% 29.41 shares
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

Brazil 50% 200 shares
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Argentina 41% 245 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Yes 36% 23.21 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Yes 44% 23.21 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 68% 29.41 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 57% 35.09 shares