Yes position
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $52.95
- Potential payout
- $60.51
- Potential profit
- $7.56
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $6.39
Polymarket Trader
pidan-ultra
0x7964e1bf3f26a53b883f606eed55bda294dbb661
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $89.95
- Realized PnL
- $77.64
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$20.8
Yes position
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $37
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $3
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$12.8
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.56
Yes position
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes 90% 30 shares
- Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes 77% 60 shares
- Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes 89% 10 shares
- Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes 69% 0.51 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes 51.1% 5 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes 52% 20 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?Yes 90% 20 shares
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?Yes 21.3% 5 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 64% 20 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes 52% 20 shares
- Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?44.8% 89.24 shares
- Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?Yes 32% 10 shares