Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $12.23K
- Potential payout
- $14.82K
- Potential profit
- $2.59K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $366.31
Polymarket Trader
scottorhino
0x796590ec48bca1d8fd773bf52a66bf82e21409d9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.04K
- Realized PnL
- $13.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $170.17
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $132.14
No position
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $322
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $78
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $989.8
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $869.58
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $865.79
No position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $840.06
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $818.55
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $800
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $747.33
No position
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $617.47
No position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $548.45
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $506.05
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $430.26
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $412.8
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.37
Yes position
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $373.59
No position
Weed rescheduled in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $344.12
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330
No position
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.23
No position
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.33
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $259.74
No position
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.68
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.62
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 99.2% 3,899.95 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 98.7% 5,100 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.7% 11,200 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 99.9% 6,571.09 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 98.2% 5,100 shares
- Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 77% 400 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 81.8% 1,660.2 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 89.4% 8,000 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.3% 4,200 shares
- Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes 95% 3,200 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No 96.9% 2,600 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 80% 14,820 shares