Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $489.99
- Potential payout
- $3.38K
- Potential profit
- $2.89K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$104.01
Polymarket Trader
mateoxxo
0x797a3862f754f39b5e6bfc45673a285f78a99cf2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $660.49
- Realized PnL
- -$242.15
- Win rate
- 63.6%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $170.5
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.93K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$15.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $549.11
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $162.22
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $152.61
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $84
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.97
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.04
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$132.52
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$160.2
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$619.61
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.45K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 35% 398.66 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 29% 517.38 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 75% 147.54 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 64% 600 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 72% 419.92 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 70% 398.59 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 93% 1,875.66 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 83% 1,203.61 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 74% 151.62 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 91% 137.64 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 90% 284.48 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 89% 563.66 shares