Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $635
- Potential profit
- $635
- User PnL
- -$165.1
Polymarket Trader
Lucas5407.
0x797bc347cb207ba5a34ae948a0c88b4cf2b58ad1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.19
- Realized PnL
- $13.83
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $9.19
- Potential payout
- $9.21
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8.9
- Potential payout
- $8.91
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $8.1
- Potential payout
- $8.11
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.5 on February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.29
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.05ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 89.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 30?No 99.9% 9.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on July 1?No 99.9% 8.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 30?No 99.9% 6.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 30?No 99.7% 9.23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 30?No 99.9% 9.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on July 1?No 99.9% 8.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on June 29?No 99.5% 7.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on June 29?No 99.9% 7.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 29?No 99.9% 6.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 24?No 99.8% 7.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C or below on June 23?No 99.9% 9.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 23?No 99.9% 6.71 shares