Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.8%
- Current value
- $123.75
- Potential payout
- $303
- Potential profit
- $179.25
- Multiplier
- 2.45x
- User PnL
- $13.45
Polymarket Trader
gwari
@KatKatina5955
0x798271ec6a640a6e9cd5602a87411a0d10de6d14
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $192.02
- Realized PnL
- $172.87
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.3%
- Current value
- $31.56
- Potential payout
- $101
- Potential profit
- $69.44
- Multiplier
- 3.20x
- User PnL
- -$13.89
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.68
- Potential payout
- $13.45
- Potential profit
- $11.77
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.12
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.75
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $3.85
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $6.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.95
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $2.07
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.94
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $3.65
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.35
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Yes position
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $6.99
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.79
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.85
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $1.68
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Nico Williams score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.47
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.53
- Multiplier
- 10.58x
- User PnL
- -$2.73
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $3.35
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.65
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $2.73
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.28
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $3.87
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.13
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Ronaldo position
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.94
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$2.14
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Yes position
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.88
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.38
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.5
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.5
No position
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.45 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.14
Yes position
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.53
Yes position
Solana above $155 on October 25?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.1
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.7
No position
Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.53
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Yes position
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
Yes position
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Yes position
Liverpool wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29
Yes position
US-China trade deal before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 50% 5 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 35% 5 shares
- Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 30% 5 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 27% 5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 64% 5 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?Yes 42% 5 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?Yes 56% 5 shares
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 82% 1.22 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 29% 5 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No 77% 5 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 51% 10 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes 61% 5 shares