Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $53.42
- Potential payout
- $15.26K
- Potential profit
- $15.21K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$295.56
Polymarket Trader
0x798F98dC26CccBb7061E02F43De4E55f6362d7d3-1772125864204
0x798f98dc26cccbb7061e02f43de4e55f6362d7d3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.17K
- Realized PnL
- -$1.31K
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $15.19K
- Potential profit
- $13.29K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $184.04
Yes position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $10.52
- Potential payout
- $4.21K
- Potential profit
- $4.2K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$89.48
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $22.15
- Potential payout
- $3.41K
- Potential profit
- $3.39K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$227.85
Yes position
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $179.44
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$20.55
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.63
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$17.37
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $5.38
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $763.85
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$94.61
Yes position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $514.58
- Potential profit
- $514.58
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $266.67
- Potential profit
- $266.67
- User PnL
- -$24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $526.74
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $53.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.32
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$90.41
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$119
Yes position
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$291.08
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$295.96
Yes position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$393.79
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$634.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 12.6% 10,879.66 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 8% 4,312.5 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes 1% 1,488.2 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 0.4% 3,378.11 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 15% 1,066.67 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 16.1% 1,000 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 21.4% 2,020.72 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 21.9% 228.22 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.9% 1,052.63 shares
- Russia coup attempt in 2026?Yes 9% 1,111.11 shares
- Russia coup attempt in 2026?Yes 10% 1,000 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 8% 62.5 shares