Polymarket Trader

Descartisan

0x799435e6f356fe77446a783093db4560bf16c512

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.08K
Realized PnL: $39.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $808.13
Potential payout: $1.74K
Potential profit: $929.79
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $150.94

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $141.47
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $1.51K
Multiplier: 11.70x
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$74.06

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $117.08
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $997.93
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$300.97

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $216.01
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $891.71
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$60.65

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $753.17
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $346.35
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $417.78

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $441.45
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $648.55
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$6.85

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $40.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $959.61
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$41.78

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $145.01
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $855.06
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$56.28

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 29.1%
Current value: $290.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $709.5
Multiplier: 3.44x
User PnL: $178.5

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $38
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $962
Multiplier: 26.32x
User PnL: -$10.9

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $434.95
Potential payout: $999.89
Potential profit: $564.94
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $278.35

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $204.97
Potential payout: $999.85
Potential profit: $794.88
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $24.6

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $204.91
Potential payout: $999.54
Potential profit: $794.63
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$342.1

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $49.48
Potential payout: $999.5
Potential profit: $950.03
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $811.77
Potential payout: $907
Potential profit: $95.24
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $109.9

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 82.2%
Current value: $713.06
Potential payout: $868
Potential profit: $154.94
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$40.45

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $293.29
Potential payout: $706.72
Potential profit: $413.43
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $43.25

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $208.31
Potential payout: $661.3
Potential profit: $452.99
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$176.25

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $411.48
Potential payout: $648
Potential profit: $236.52
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$41.8

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $641
Potential profit: $641
User PnL: -$230.76

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 17.9%
Current value: $113.57
Potential payout: $636.24
Potential profit: $522.67
Multiplier: 5.60x
User PnL: $31.35

No position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $147.5
Potential payout: $590
Potential profit: $442.5
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$152.98

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $493.83
Potential payout: $540
Potential profit: $46.17
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$28.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1K

Yes position

Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73K

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.55K

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15K

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09K

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75K

No position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

Yes position

Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59K

Yes position

Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.53K

No position

Will a club from France win the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

No position

Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.31K

No position

Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

Yes position

Will the next reconciliation bill be passed before July?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.24K

Yes position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.15K

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

No position

Will the DHS shutdown last 10 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Yes position

Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.09K

No position

Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.07K

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.07K

No position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.06K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?

No 84% 13 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?

No 92% 12 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?

Yes 13% 25 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?

No 89% 40 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?

Yes 28% 78 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?

Yes 28% 78 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?

No 89% 51 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?

Yes 28% 100 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?

No 22.8% 49 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?

No 89% 51 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?

Yes 28% 100 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?

No 20.8% 49 shares