Polymarket Trader

Heisq2511

0x79a83c9b8b418fe5920216687ab7955d83b944c4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $100.74
Realized PnL: $136.2
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in March 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.65K
Potential profit: $3.65K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the DHS shutdown last 5 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in March 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.67K
Potential profit: $2.67K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the US not strike another country before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $2.14K
User PnL: -$7

No position

Grok 4.20 released by February 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.83K
Potential profit: $1.83K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $100.64
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $857.14
Potential profit: $857.14
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will the DHS shutdown last 7 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the US strike Venezuela next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $708.86
Potential profit: $708.86
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $688.78
Potential profit: $688.78
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $572.41
Potential profit: $572.41
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in March 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $532.51
Potential profit: $532.51
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the US strike another country first?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $433.16
Potential profit: $433.16
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will the DHS shutdown last 10 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $386.69
Potential profit: $386.69
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in March 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $351.63
Potential profit: $351.63
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $339.81
Potential profit: $339.81
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $269.74
Potential profit: $269.74
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $249.56
Potential profit: $249.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $233.44
Potential profit: $233.44
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.55
Potential profit: $219.55
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $202.37
Potential profit: $202.27
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.59

No position

Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will SpaceX have exactly 9 launches in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $186.3
Potential profit: $186.3
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.47
Potential profit: $176.47
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.31

Natus Vincere position

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.38

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.96

Yes position

Will Trump say "Two weeks" this week? (February 22)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.8% 1,282.05 shares
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 3.8% 202.37 shares
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?

Yes 3.7% 269.74 shares
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?

Yes 14% 107.14 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by April 30, 2026?

Yes 30% 33.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in March 2026?

Yes 1.9% 532.51 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in March 2026?

Yes 0.3% 3,648.79 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in March 2026?

Yes 1.4% 351.63 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in March 2026?

Yes 0.4% 2,673.59 shares
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?

Yes 3.7% 135.14 shares
Will Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?

No 8.7% 80.62 shares
Grok 4.20 released by February 28?

No 1.1% 1,829.79 shares