No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $538.73
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $11.27
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $13.48
Polymarket Trader
0xOTd
0x79a899a6c52addf90a67092091e24c407355bb66
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.16K
- Realized PnL
- $5.44K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $393.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $6.2
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $11.4
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $341.25
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $8.75
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $35.58
No position
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $295.65
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $12.02
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $271.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $28.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $67.5
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $258.39
- Potential payout
- $264.61
- Potential profit
- $6.22
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $15.53
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $187
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $13
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $197.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $5.9
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $191.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $8.9
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $125.25
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $24.75
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$8.25
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $134.47
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $5.53
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $29.47
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $118.98
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- User PnL
- $10.98
No position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $94.54
- Potential payout
- $106.82
- Potential profit
- $12.28
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $5.88
Up position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$27
Yes position
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $14.85
- Potential payout
- $29.4
- Potential profit
- $14.55
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $3.14
- Potential profit
- $3.02
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
No position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $665.67
No position
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $462.4
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $423.38
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $274
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.4
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.2
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.08
Yes position
Will Poland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $117.99
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.95
Yes position
Will Lithuania win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $113
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $108.2
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $107.9
Yes position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.3
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.5
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $103.45
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $101.29
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $94.73
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.91
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.37
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $78.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No 84% 120 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 23?Up 27% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 200 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 38% 300 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 70% 100 shares
- Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 96.4% 120 shares
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 89% 150 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 22?Down 58% 15.46 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?No 96% 100 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?No 96% 100 shares
- Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 95.3% 30 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No 91% 250 shares