Polymarket Trader

hedgefundfounder

0x79bfe69e715f54fca27308e6044e4f0c157cbcdf

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $993.09
Realized PnL: $13.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Vance Bostic win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.66K
Potential profit: $7.66K
User PnL: -$364.9

Yes position

Will Chi Ossé win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.66K
Potential profit: $7.66K
User PnL: -$364.9

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $723.86
Potential payout: $2.84K
Potential profit: $2.12K
Multiplier: 3.93x
User PnL: $546.38

Yes position

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $5.74
Potential payout: $1.91K
Potential profit: $1.91K
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$49.44

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $117.4
Potential payout: $711.49
Potential profit: $594.09
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$268.29

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $15.99
Potential payout: $695.26
Potential profit: $679.27
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$52.14

Yes position

Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555
Potential profit: $555
User PnL: -$28.3

Yes position

Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$25.5

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $58.84
Potential payout: $346.1
Potential profit: $287.26
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $1.81

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $66.02
Potential payout: $249.12
Potential profit: $183.1
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$0.49

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $6.08
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$2.8

No position

Will Trump say "UFC" during June 24 Rally?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $7.24
Potential profit: $3.91
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$0.94

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.13K

No position

Will Kyrgyz Republic win on 2026-06-09?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75K

No position

Will Reppo launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.4K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

No position

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $998.15

No position

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $726.14

Yes position

Will Trump say "The War Is Over" this week? (April 20 - 26)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.4

No position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $80.86

No position

Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.5

No position

Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.47

No position

NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $28.2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" this week?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.19

Yes position

Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.51

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Norah O'Donnell by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.44

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.76

Yes position

Will Trump say "Pope" in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.78

Yes position

Will Trump say "Terminate the Filibuster" in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.09

Yes position

Will Trump say "ISIS" in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.83

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $6.49

Yes position

Will Donald Trump dance on May 19, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.49

No position

Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.28

Yes position

Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Yes 20.8% 22.27 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?

Yes 26% 491 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Yes 18% 1,698.43 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Yes 6.4% 1,988.52 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 98.8% 55 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?

Yes 98.6% 20 shares
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

No 69% 102.48 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?

Yes 7.5% 788.49 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Yes 18.2% 78.8 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?

Yes 25.1% 310.52 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by June 30, 2026?

Yes 27% 159.6 shares
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 55% 105 shares