Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 61°F or higher on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Polymarket Trader
darraghffion1358
0x7a14af4410ea85fbce49a6eb229aa3d686008441
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $4.37
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 61°F or higher on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will 'Alto Knights' gross more than 7m on opening weekend?
Ends Mar 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Sebastian-Constantin Popescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 64% 49 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 34% 5 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 85% 10 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 80% 18 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 58% 54 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 57% 8 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.2% 33 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?No 98.7% 31 shares
- Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 28 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 93% 37 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 93% 37 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 29% 76 shares