Polymarket Trader

vieuxtemps

0x7a1630b1f839e4423f437dd2a8e2164194ce518b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $115.24
Realized PnL: $383.56
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $153.85
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.96
Potential profit: $101.96
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?

Ends Aug 11, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $13.89
Potential payout: $95.81
Potential profit: $81.92
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$6.11

Yes position

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1%?

Ends Feb 12, 2027

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $40.17
Potential payout: $87.33
Potential profit: $47.16
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $5.95

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $1.78
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $60.72
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$3.22

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 10, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $13.89
Potential payout: $42.72
Potential profit: $28.84
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$0.61

No position

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $28.78
Potential payout: $40.82
Potential profit: $12.04
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $8.78

Yes position

Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.33
Potential profit: $40.33
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?

Ends Jan 18, 2027

Implied probability: 30.2%
Current value: $9.18
Potential payout: $30.46
Potential profit: $21.28
Multiplier: 3.32x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in April?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the US add at least 200k jobs in May?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.82
Potential profit: $23.82
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.4
Potential profit: $16.4
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $14.08
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?

Ends Jan 20, 2027

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $7.55
Potential payout: $10.86
Potential profit: $3.31
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $0.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.07

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.64

No position

ECB rate cut in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $32.69

Yes position

Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in December?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.43

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.57

No position

Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0% and 0.3%?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.3

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 310 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.88

Yes position

Will UK GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.3

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.83

No position

Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the March meeting?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.69

Yes position

Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.6

Yes position

Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.3% and 0.6%?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.42

No position

Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.42

Yes position

Will the U.K.'s monthly inflation be ≥0.3% in December?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.35

No position

Will Canada's annual inflation increase by ≤2.0% in December?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.87

No position

Will Canada’s February 2026 unemployment rate be 6.5%?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.86

No position

Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be negative?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.76

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.13

No position

Will Canada’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 6.8%?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $9.49

Yes position

Will the US add more than 125k jobs in January?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.17

Yes position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.17

No position

Will monthly inflation be between 2.3% and 2.5% in January?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.05

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.87

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 31% 32.26 shares
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?

Yes 16% 62.5 shares
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 43% 10.47 shares
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

No 49% 40.82 shares
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?

Yes 75.1% 25.62 shares
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%?

Yes 3.4% 22.8 shares
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.9% and 2.1%?

Yes 1.4% 7.52 shares
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 8% 62.5 shares
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

No 54% 22.22 shares
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?

Yes 56.1% 3.57 shares
Will the US add at least 200k jobs in May?

Yes 4.2% 23.82 shares
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 0.3% 14.93 shares