No position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $13.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $186.9
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- $3.1
Polymarket Trader
eramin
0x7a2deec5cfc4d561c743b72fe94bdfe32a56bd89
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.62
- Realized PnL
- $80.03
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $97
- Potential profit
- $96.47
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $10.17
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $0.29
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.4
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $0.32
- Potential payout
- $7.67
- Potential profit
- $7.35
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $4.87
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $1.19
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.59
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.14
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
Yes position
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.06
Yes position
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.32
Yes position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
Yes position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31
Yes position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 230 or more times May 30–June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?Yes 0.1% 27.45 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?No 0.2% 16.99 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No 99.6% 26.41 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 99.3% 6.79 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.6% 5 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 0.7% 150 shares
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 0.3% 334 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 15% 6.67 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?Yes 0.7% 142.86 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 0.6% 308 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 84% 1.19 shares