No position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $23.5
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $976.49
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$116.5
Polymarket Trader
Lazarus69
0x7a3d562df8b0420c240cd414589f05d8bfd290e6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $780.41
- Realized PnL
- $4.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $481.77
- Potential profit
- $481.77
- User PnL
- -$325.4
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $337.71
- Potential payout
- $447.3
- Potential profit
- $109.59
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $6.24
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $225.5
- Potential payout
- $278.39
- Potential profit
- $52.89
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $30.76
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $193.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $6.3
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $29.7
No position
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.31
- Potential profit
- $29.31
- User PnL
- -$16.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $804.69
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $674.05
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $521.15
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $454.1
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $357.88
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252
Yes position
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.26
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.06
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $76.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.61
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.4
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 75% 47.3 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 27% 65.77 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 29% 76 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 77.9% 10 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 22% 607.77 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 84% 340 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No 57% 20.01 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95% 501.17 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 74% 400 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95% 501.16 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 44% 25 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 43% 264.4 shares