Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.32K
- Potential profit
- $7.32K
- User PnL
- -$66.61
Polymarket Trader
Jimmyneutrondu34
0x7a455fcac8ba7397d44534f6dbb6481e66f54eec
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.79K
- Realized PnL
- $652.66
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.06K
- Potential profit
- $7.06K
- User PnL
- -$67.78
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $173.35
- Potential payout
- $3.12K
- Potential profit
- $2.95K
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$302.95
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $722.24
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $491.61
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $508.75
Yes position
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $815.96
- Potential profit
- $815.96
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
ECB rate cut in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $325.52
- Potential payout
- $396.98
- Potential profit
- $71.46
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $140.82
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.3%
- Current value
- $109.13
- Potential payout
- $327.73
- Potential profit
- $218.6
- Multiplier
- 3.00x
- User PnL
- $92.95
Yes position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $36.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $163.1
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $15.3
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $175
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $175
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $25
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $31
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $177
- Potential profit
- $177
- User PnL
- -$21.5
Yes position
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.7%
- Current value
- $37.3
- Potential payout
- $164.32
- Potential profit
- $127.02
- Multiplier
- 4.41x
- User PnL
- $24.69
Yes position
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $33.75
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $116.25
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Yes position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$15.91
No position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$18
Spurs position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.94
- Potential profit
- $10.94
- User PnL
- -$7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
ECB rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.93
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $154.3
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $126.82
No position
Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.76
Yes position
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.01
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38
No position
Will VIX close above 50 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.37
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.1%
- Multiplier
- 3.83x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Yes position
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 28.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.61
No position
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.67
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.25
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$20.95
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$23.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 53% 100 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 8% 507.33 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 8% 400.2 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No 81% 100 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 18% 1,018.18 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 17% 591.77 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 19% 364.99 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 33.1% 100 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No 81% 100 shares
- ECB rate cut in 2026?No 85% 87.13 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.2% 3,863.53 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 20.9% 241 shares