Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $31.82
- Potential payout
- $715
- Potential profit
- $683.18
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $6.79
Polymarket Trader
Lavazza
0x7a4cf8fc1d4ee1cf7abbbd4e79db6f577314a538
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $76.48
- Realized PnL
- $152.31
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $26
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $74
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $16.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $83.5
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$8.5
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $2.16
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $20.57
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$7.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Heart for The Hague (HvDH) win the most seats in The Hague’s 2026 municipal election?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.38
Yes position
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16
Yes position
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy: Both Teams to Score
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in September 2025?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald or Melania Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during executive order signing events on November 13?
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.5
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.35
Yes position
Will there be no coalition by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the next Dutch government be another combination?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Donald or Melania Trump say "Darling" or "Sweetie" during executive order signing events on November 13?
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.55
Yes position
Will North Macedonia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.5% 715 shares
- Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes 18% 100 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?No 77% 10.79 shares
- Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?No 74% 10.8 shares
- Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No 19% 26.32 shares
- US strikes Iraq by February 28?No 0.1% 2,000 shares
- Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?No 38% 21.05 shares
- Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 0.7% 148.42 shares
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 1.1% 90.91 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 44% 22.73 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?No 13% 33.46 shares
- Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?No 1.9% 5,380.4 shares