No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $5.54
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $5.33
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $0.54
Polymarket Trader
0x7a4f...7b7f
0x7a4f372508a9db186b63ce649863f1c107577b7f
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $52.6
- Realized PnL
- $3.57
- Win rate
- 41.2%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $7.4
- Potential payout
- $9.25
- Potential profit
- $1.85
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $3.04
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $5.29
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $8.2
- Potential profit
- $3.44
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $8.14
- Potential profit
- $3.46
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $3.95
- Potential payout
- $8.14
- Potential profit
- $4.19
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $3.4
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $1.16
Yes position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $4.8
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $4.51
- Potential payout
- $6.59
- Potential profit
- $2.08
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $6.38
- Potential profit
- $1.28
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.86
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $3.5
- Potential profit
- $1.87
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $2.7
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $2.1
- Potential payout
- $2.43
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.49
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.47
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.38
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.38
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.89
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.03
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will Warsh say "All-Time High" or "All-Time Low" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.93
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.36
Yes position
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 43% 8 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Yes 73% 6.59 shares
- Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?Yes 38% 7.5 shares
- Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?Yes 56% 8.14 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 71.1% 7.09 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 48% 9.25 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?No 23% 6 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 22.9% 6.03 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes 19% 6 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 1.1% 136.36 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 74% 6.81 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 28% 6.75 shares