No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $46.56
- Potential payout
- $112.2
- Potential profit
- $65.63
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$48.44
Polymarket Trader
768tfghjk
@opchainwarden
0x7a5c43c7f3ffca869b2c5cee141bfe2f5fc05401
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $50.62
- Realized PnL
- $76.15
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.4%
- Current value
- $1.83
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.16
- Multiplier
- 5.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $2.23
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.78
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$1.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.5
Yes position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.94
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.88
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.47
No position
Was Trump hacked?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.54
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.36
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will George W. Bush attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Bitcoin above $105,000 on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Biden pardon Hillary?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 81.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$20.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99% 2.03 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 99.8% 4.6 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 82% 12.2 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 99.4% 98.59 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 99.1% 103.27 shares
- Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No 98% 10.2 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 77% 51.95 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 83% 144.14 shares
- Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?Yes 91.5% 119.63 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No 95% 109.43 shares
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 98.4% 2.03 shares
- US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes 32% 31.25 shares