Polymarket Trader

0x7a65A490D1cCFBB2b7D8F954873955Cf9aF755A4-1768439475771

0x7a65a490d1ccfbb2b7d8f954873955cf9af755a4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $789.75
Realized PnL: $418.1
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran leadership change by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Current value: $82.32
Potential payout: $3.17K
Potential profit: $3.08K
Multiplier: 38.46x
User PnL: -$12.66

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.9%
Current value: $442.99
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $2.19K
Multiplier: 5.93x
User PnL: -$7.01

Yes position

Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $59.66
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $2.03K
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$40.34

Yes position

Iran leadership change by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $169.02
Potential payout: $1.88K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$30.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $391.67
Potential profit: $391.67
User PnL: -$11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.72
Potential profit: $232.72
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.93
Potential profit: $137.93
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15.7%
Current value: $21.15
Potential payout: $135.14
Potential profit: $113.99
Multiplier: 6.39x
User PnL: $11.15

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.21
Potential profit: $86.21
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.6%
Current value: $14.61
Potential payout: $78.74
Potential profit: $64.13
Multiplier: 5.39x
User PnL: $4.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.8
Potential profit: $72.8
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $496.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.51

No position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$87.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.8% 86.21 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.4% 135.14 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.7% 78.74 shares
Iran leadership change by September 30?

Yes 10.6% 1,878.01 shares
Iran leadership change by July 31?

Yes 3% 3,166.33 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 17.3% 2,312.56 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 15.8% 316.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Down 26% 7.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Down 13% 7.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Up 30% 6.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Up 11% 45.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Up 13% 38.46 shares