No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $5.17K
- Potential payout
- $5.65K
- Potential profit
- $480.23
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $200.29
Polymarket Trader
0x7a6c...5048
0x7a6c46965b59f485ffe1fab6b1f359b2aadf5048
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $12.64K
- Realized PnL
- $1.65K
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $1.7K
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $147.96
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $44.5
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $1.45K
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $287.3
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $8.71
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $109.2
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $40.23
No position
Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $17.23
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $59.17
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $921.61
- Potential payout
- $932.34
- Potential profit
- $10.72
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $33.49
No position
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $629.08
- Potential payout
- $678.98
- Potential profit
- $49.91
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $11.45
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $405.69
- Potential payout
- $429.08
- Potential profit
- $23.38
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $82.41
No position
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $291.64
- Potential payout
- $301.9
- Potential profit
- $10.26
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $50.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.54
No position
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.47
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.88
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.47
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.75
No position
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.5
No position
Will Manchester United finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.52
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $116.53
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $92.49
No position
Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.03
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.93
No position
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.16
Yes position
Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.98
No position
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.74
Yes position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.79
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.15
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.24
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.35
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will RB Leipzig finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$174.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 83% 860.28 shares
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 83% 880.93 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 64.4% 713.07 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No 88% 5,649.8 shares
- Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 91.9% 258.98 shares
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No 97.2% 1,400.2 shares
- Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 93% 785.51 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 61% 1,230.73 shares
- Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 91% 678.98 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 75.3% 429.08 shares
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?Yes 99.9% 330.12 shares
- Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 80% 301.9 shares