No position
Meta "Mango" model released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $2.35
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.35
Polymarket Trader
0xGodPlaysDice
0x7a78905d92379627cee57a6f58260665cb33818e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.91
- Realized PnL
- $46.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $2.38
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.37
- Potential payout
- $2.38
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $1.69
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.6%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $1.97
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $1.96
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $1.89
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.81
- Potential payout
- $1.82
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.81
Y
Yes position
Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $1.75
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $1.72
- Potential profit
- $0.66
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.64
- Potential payout
- $1.64
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $1.64
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $1.64
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $1.57
- Potential payout
- $1.61
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $1.59
- Potential payout
- $1.61
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $1.57
- Potential payout
- $1.59
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $1.43
- Potential payout
- $1.47
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $1.47
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.45
- Potential payout
- $1.45
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $1.41
- Potential payout
- $1.43
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.39
- Potential payout
- $1.39
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $1.36
- Potential payout
- $1.38
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.36
- Potential payout
- $1.37
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $1.32
- Potential payout
- $1.35
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
Panthers position
Panthers vs. Packers
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.57
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
Heat position
Cavaliers vs. Heat
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
UTSA Roadrunners position
Tulane vs. UTSA Roadrunners
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
No position
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Hawks position
Lakers vs. Hawks
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
Will Kyle Whittingham be the next permanent head coach of the University of Michigan Football team?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Spurs position
Rockets vs. Spurs
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Will Trump say "Radical Left" 2+ times during "60 Minutes" on November 2?
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Bucks position
Warriors vs. Bucks
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Heat position
Trail Blazers vs. Heat
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Will Grab Holdings (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
No position
Will Partido Popular win <28 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Jazz position
Pacers vs. Jazz
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Bruins position
Maple Leafs vs. Bruins
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Over position
Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 24.7% 1.72 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 57.9% 1.73 shares
- Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsNo 71% 1.41 shares
- Will 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 57% 1.75 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?No 79% 1.27 shares
- Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes 78% 3.12 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?No 42% 2.38 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No 80% 1.25 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 62% 1.33 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 75% 1.33 shares
- Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.5% 1.89 shares
- Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 52.9% 1.89 shares