Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $670.44
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$380.82
Polymarket Trader
0x7a7d...7e77
0x7a7d1992c2dc3fbffcbef26eaa683bb6b06c7e77
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $998.11
- Realized PnL
- $6.11K
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $309.77
- Potential payout
- $590.04
- Potential profit
- $280.27
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.95
No position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.43
- Potential profit
- $121.43
- User PnL
- -$17
No position
Ledger IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $17.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $10.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53K
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $934.91
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $428.5
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $428.38
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.37
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $338.26
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.1
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $122.39
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.79
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.84
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.6
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $76.25
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.76
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.37
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $49.87
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $34.83
No position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$2.97
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.61
Yes position
Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?No 86% 2.22 shares
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?No 43% 39.59 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 93% 354.06 shares
- Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes 93.7% 290.65 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No 55.7% 826.57 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes 10.2% 1,559.39 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 41.3% 639.78 shares
- Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes 14% 111.11 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes 3.6% 712.12 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 47% 591.99 shares
- Iran leadership change by March 31?No 94% 298.5 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes 43% 872.19 shares