No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $4.56
- Potential payout
- $364.47
- Potential profit
- $359.91
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Polymarket Trader
0xDEADBEEFx0
0x7a8a4f24c8d4190aee15787cad64b2a4c2dd8474
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.82
- Realized PnL
- $124.31
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $5.26
- Potential payout
- $125.23
- Potential profit
- $119.97
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Brazil position
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.99
- Potential profit
- $24.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.65
- Potential profit
- $16.65
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.65
- Potential profit
- $16.65
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.65
- Potential profit
- $16.65
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.64
- Potential profit
- $6.64
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.64
- Potential profit
- $6.64
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.64
- Potential profit
- $6.64
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.85
- Potential profit
- $5.85
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.85
- Potential profit
- $5.85
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?No 1.4% 364.47 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?No 4% 125.23 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Yes 99.9% 58.82 shares
- Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBrazil 15% 33.33 shares
- Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes 27% 37.04 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes 44% 22.73 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Yes 17% 58.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETUp 6% 16.64 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETDown 5% 19.98 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETDown 5% 19.98 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETUp 5% 19.98 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETDown 5% 19.98 shares