Polymarket Trader

0x7a8Bd1b1f9bD3b446A85AAAac43dBDFBF5188e03-1723343204868

0x7a8bd1b1f9bd3b446a85aaaac43dbdfbf5188e03

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $595.12
Realized PnL: $829
Win rate: 29.2%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Michael Blake gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 12PM ET

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $979.93
Potential profit: $979.93
User PnL: -$509

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $738.68
Potential profit: $738.68
User PnL: -$369.34

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $504.28
Potential payout: $504.28
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $252.14

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $284.58
Potential profit: $284.58
User PnL: -$142.29

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $246.84
Potential profit: $246.84
User PnL: -$123.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $235.98
Potential profit: $235.98
User PnL: -$122.59

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 5AM ET

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $221.9
Potential profit: $221.9
User PnL: -$113.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $184.89
Potential profit: $184.89
User PnL: -$95.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23?

Ends Oct 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172
Potential profit: $172
User PnL: -$86

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 76.8%
Current value: $90.84
Potential payout: $118.35
Potential profit: $27.52
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $17.46

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Solana Up or Down - March 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $389.93

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.25

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 5AM ET

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.51

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 26, 5AM ET

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.55

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.85

No position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 62.7%
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa not shake hands on November 10 2025?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.4%
Multiplier: 2.68x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa not shake hands on November 10 2025?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will H win the second most seats in the Norway election?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Ashley Moody be appointed as the next Florida senator?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Fed rate cut by September 18?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will a Republican win Oklahoma Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.37

No position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.73

No position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.82

No position

GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.93

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Up 50% 284.58 shares
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Up 50% 246.84 shares
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 8% 298.88 shares
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 80.1% 0.88 shares
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Yes 20.2% 187.75 shares
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 80.9% 42.69 shares
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

No 80.9% 130.93 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET

Down 50.9% 462.92 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 5AM ET

Down 51% 221.9 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 5AM ET

Up 51% 174.51 shares
Solana Up or Down - December 26, 5AM ET

Up 51% 139.9 shares
Solana Up or Down - December 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Up 51% 126.22 shares