No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $1.46K
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $424.3
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $61.48
Polymarket Trader
saikederiku
0x7a8dd767ecaa4c525afd4ee78153680d3ff9262f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.12K
- Realized PnL
- $387.75
- Win rate
- 61.5%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $258.42
- Potential payout
- $335.61
- Potential profit
- $77.19
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$6.58
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $292.59
- Potential payout
- $334.39
- Potential profit
- $41.8
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $15.59
No position
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $91.13
- Potential payout
- $189.86
- Potential profit
- $98.73
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $13.19
No position
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $18.96
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $22.71
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.5
- Potential profit
- $32.5
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.12
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.54
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.9
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.22
Over position
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.48
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.65
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
No position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$2.04
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$3.85
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.99x
- User PnL
- -$4.84
No position
Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?No 74.2% 1,885.78 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 50% 192.3 shares
- Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No 50.3% 284.61 shares
- Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No 79% 196.2 shares
- Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No 79% 126.58 shares
- Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?No 82.9% 301.5 shares
- Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?No 48.3% 20.71 shares
- Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes 99.9% 17.54 shares
- Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?No 82.1% 32.88 shares
- Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?No 47.7% 20.96 shares
- Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No 78% 12.82 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 60.2% 498.12 shares