No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.5K
- User PnL
- -$15
Polymarket Trader
Avitz33
@TzdakaAvi
0x7a90bfdb1c7bbb30ab19fdd48a6b49dede972ff9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.76K
- Realized PnL
- $9.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $91.96
- Potential payout
- $2.74K
- Potential profit
- $2.65K
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$258.71
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $2.7K
- User PnL
- -$142.58
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.4%
- Current value
- $453.44
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- Multiplier
- 5.73x
- User PnL
- $349.44
Yes position
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $8.92
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$17.11
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.2%
- Current value
- $65.2
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $734.8
- Multiplier
- 12.27x
- User PnL
- $25.2
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.9%
- Current value
- $266.01
- Potential payout
- $721.88
- Potential profit
- $455.87
- Multiplier
- 2.71x
- User PnL
- $189.63
No position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $256.51
- Potential payout
- $675.03
- Potential profit
- $418.52
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $126
No position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $83.65
- Potential payout
- $597.49
- Potential profit
- $513.84
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $17.92
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $8.39
- Potential payout
- $541.01
- Potential profit
- $532.63
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$28.14
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $4.51
- Potential payout
- $474.86
- Potential profit
- $470.35
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$24.51
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $470
- Potential profit
- $465.07
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$41.67
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $100.13
- Potential payout
- $426.07
- Potential profit
- $325.94
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$104.29
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $126.23
- Potential payout
- $420.77
- Potential profit
- $294.54
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $8.09
Yes position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.9%
- Current value
- $46.77
- Potential payout
- $393.01
- Potential profit
- $346.24
- Multiplier
- 8.40x
- User PnL
- -$18.73
Yes position
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $11.65
- Potential payout
- $342.77
- Potential profit
- $331.11
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- -$63.4
No position
World Cup: Any Player to Score a Hat Trick?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $308.34
- Potential profit
- $308.34
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $3.23
- Potential payout
- $307.87
- Potential profit
- $304.64
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$48.27
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $7.2
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $292.8
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$19.8
Yes position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $2.35
- Potential payout
- $223.99
- Potential profit
- $221.64
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$1.51
No position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $23.88
- Potential payout
- $207.69
- Potential profit
- $183.81
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$3.12
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $183.64
- Potential payout
- $184.38
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- User PnL
- $91.45
Yes position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $4.38
- Potential payout
- $130.71
- Potential profit
- $126.33
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$8.82
Yes position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $4.76
- Potential payout
- $126.97
- Potential profit
- $122.21
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$7.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.9%
- Multiplier
- 5.93x
- User PnL
- $923.67
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $537.99
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $467.26
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $464.63
No position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $444.1
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $436
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $416.86
No position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $382.97
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $375.25
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $341.51
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.57
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.07
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.58
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282.16
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 9, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $274.66
Yes position
Pakistan strikes Kabul by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.06
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260.6
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $234.84
Yes position
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $228.31
Yes position
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.15
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.71
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $178.94
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $167.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No 18% 110 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 5,000 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No 13.5% 112.03 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes 28% 45 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes 25% 5 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes 25% 5 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes 26.6% 21.06 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 15.5% 48.87 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes 28% 32 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes 24% 9.78 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 2,500 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?No 99.6% 150 shares