Polymarket Trader

trader044

0x7a981bc91097f36c77e57d0a278020f56521e1e2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $396.9
Realized PnL: $21.51K
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.69K
Potential profit: $3.69K
User PnL: -$316.34

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$32.99

Down position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$221.97

No position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$624

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $934.58
Potential profit: $934.58
User PnL: -$56.07

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.7%
Current value: $153.9
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $446.1
Multiplier: 3.90x
User PnL: $60.9

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $243
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $357
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$63

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$17.45

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $499.98
User PnL: -$115

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.56
Potential profit: $259.56
User PnL: -$57.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33K

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.14K

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

No position

Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73K

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62K

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46K

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,725-$4,850 in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34K

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $993.33

Down position

Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $823.79

No position

Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $730.01

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $620.83

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $612.88

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $589.25

No position

Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $341.58

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.87

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,850-$4,975 in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.73

Yes position

Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.94

Down position

Gold (GC) Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.88

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 8?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.59

Down position

Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.54

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 1?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?

Down 6% 934.58 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 17?

Down 5% 174.86 shares
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 17?

Down 28% 103.66 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 16?

Down 6% 471.65 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 16?

Down 28% 47.12 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 1?

Down 7.2% 73.89 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 1?

Down 1.9% 542.95 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 1?

Down 1.7% 84.12 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 1?

Down 12% 100 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 1?

Down 24% 200 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 30?

Up 14% 540 shares
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of March 23 above $370?

Yes 4.1% 82.5 shares