Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$12.49
Polymarket Trader
xc01
0x7aa1f9322ffd77fbb620eb28ebb5124711798bf3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.45
- Realized PnL
- $4.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $465
- Potential profit
- $465
- User PnL
- -$409.2
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$132
Bucks position
Bucks vs. Cavaliers
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$14.5
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$7.6
No position
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$21.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4AM ET
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $3.28
- Potential profit
- $2.84
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $811.2
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- $803.38
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $633.75
Yes position
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $557.55
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.8
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $217.36
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $214.01
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $203.28
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $99.98
Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $80.09
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $80
Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $80
Yes position
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77
Anyones Legend position
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.35
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.95
Yes position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $39.98
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Fnatic (BO1)
Ends Oct 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34
CTBC Flying Oyster position
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.91
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $22.9
T1 position
LoL: 100 Thieves vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.4
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: 100 Thieves vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1)
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.4
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No 98.2% 10 shares
- Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 93.4% 0.94 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 82% 488.9 shares
- Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 65.3% 100 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 89% 500 shares
- Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 94.3% 45 shares
- Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes 88% 465 shares
- EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 82% 200 shares
- Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 97.9% 656 shares
- Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 97.8% 344 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December meeting?Yes 1.5% 476 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December meeting?Yes 1% 514.37 shares