Polymarket Trader

byroman

0x7aa40cb8177bcdf0a4b8c4985616a163e5274d69

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $182
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.39K
Potential profit: $13.39K
User PnL: -$13.95

No position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.5K
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-01-14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.19K
Potential profit: $2.19K
User PnL: -$5.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or higher on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950.05
Potential profit: $950.05
User PnL: -$0.95

No position

Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $842.09
Potential profit: $842.09
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $583.33
Potential profit: $583.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will China's annual inflation decrease by ≤-0.3% in December?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 29 - January 4)

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.68

Yes position

Will Trump say "Kennedy" or "Autism" this week? (January 11)

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 1?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.86

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.78

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 8?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 3?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.29

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on February 25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 50-51°F on February 24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.72

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.71

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.66

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 1?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 11?

No 97.6% 20.48 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 11?

No 98% 20.41 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 11?

No 98.4% 71.14 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 4?

No 98.3% 38.66 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 4?

No 99.4% 70.42 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 4?

No 98.9% 70.78 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on July 1?

No 97.9% 20.44 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 1?

No 98.4% 71.14 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 30?

No 96.5% 20.73 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 29?

No 98.4% 71.11 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 29?

No 99.4% 70.42 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on June 29?

Yes 5.7% 17.54 shares