Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $969.9
- Potential profit
- $969.9
- User PnL
- -$378.26
Polymarket Trader
houellebecq
0x7aa95ee41f0ce9e200267edd4fb8eb086ff3858d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $33.76
- Realized PnL
- $119.79
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $573.05
- Potential profit
- $573.05
- User PnL
- -$11.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.56
- Potential profit
- $312.56
- User PnL
- -$4.08
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.27
- Potential profit
- $192.27
- User PnL
- -$84.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $184.33
- Potential profit
- $184.33
- User PnL
- -$10.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.93
- Potential profit
- $144.93
- User PnL
- -$1.94
No position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $33.76
- Potential payout
- $143.64
- Potential profit
- $109.89
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $3.76
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.11
- Potential profit
- $94.11
- User PnL
- -$8.47
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.75
- Potential profit
- $93.75
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.5
- Potential profit
- $85.5
- User PnL
- -$7.02
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.66
- Potential profit
- $43.66
- User PnL
- -$12.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.4
- Potential profit
- $39.4
- User PnL
- -$3.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.51
- Potential profit
- $37.51
- User PnL
- -$2.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.4
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.03
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 64°F or higher on March 12?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No 20.9% 143.64 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 24?Yes 6.5% 128.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 24?Yes 2.8% 139.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 24?Yes 2% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 24?Yes 9% 2.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 13?Yes 57.1% 119.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 13?Yes 29% 43.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 13?Yes 8.2% 85.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 13?Yes 5.9% 37.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 13?Yes 8% 119.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 13?Yes 1.3% 144.93 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on March 13?Yes 10% 39.4 shares