Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $12.25K
- Potential payout
- $24.02K
- Potential profit
- $11.77K
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$1.91K
Polymarket Trader
glueeater
0x7ab480c23d8a0d5a6e95c2b10a5b82bf55aa716b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.64K
- Realized PnL
- $125.31K
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.3%
- Current value
- $6.32K
- Potential payout
- $20.9K
- Potential profit
- $14.58K
- Multiplier
- 3.31x
- User PnL
- -$3.2K
No position
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $2.9K
- Potential payout
- $6.99K
- Potential profit
- $4.09K
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$384.72
No position
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $121.83
- Potential payout
- $718.75
- Potential profit
- $596.92
- Multiplier
- 5.90x
- User PnL
- $94.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178.57
- Potential profit
- $178.57
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will STRC dip to $90 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $42.22
- Potential payout
- $60.31
- Potential profit
- $18.09
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $1.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.74K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.59K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.55K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.59K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.57K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.51K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.7K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.58K
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.21K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43K
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99K
Yes position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
Yes position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 31-April 6?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $912.58
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $819.97
Yes position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 14-20?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $629.57
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $475.32
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450
No position
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $343.55
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $295.56
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.74
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 29.8% 2,295.26 shares
- Will STRC dip to $90 in 2026?Yes 58% 30.25 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No 2.5% 4,999.99 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No 1.4% 10,667.31 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No 9.1% 10,667.31 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes 15.8% 24,999.99 shares
- Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?No 10.3% 20,000 shares
- Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?No 14% 1,244.33 shares
- Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?No 14.4% 6,909.22 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes 45.1% 19,978.52 shares
- Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?Yes 47.9% 170.39 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 58% 5,100.19 shares