Yes position
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $15.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $84.5
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Polymarket Trader
willchangeyo
0x7ab5796623f927e37d5e7af85bf972d950b25379
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15.5
- Realized PnL
- -$80.37
- Win rate
- 47.4%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5.5
No position
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82
No position
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 7?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.19
No position
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 31?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.17
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.84
No position
Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
Will none of the eaglets hatch before April 17?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
Yes position
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.97
No position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will the first eaglet hatch on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.38
No position
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 7?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Any of the stolen paintings recovered by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will the first eaglet hatch on April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.96
Yes position
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be between 250k and 275k?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$41.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$51.21
Johnny Speeds position
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffs
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the first eaglet hatch on April 7, 2026?Yes 23% 51.36 shares
- Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by April 30, 2026?Yes 11% 50 shares
- Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?No 7% 20 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 83% 50 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 83% 10 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?Yes 1.2% 83.33 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?Yes 92.7% 21.88 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?Yes 92.5% 5.89 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?Yes 92.9% 25 shares
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?Yes 90.9% 10.1 shares
- Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?Yes 1.7% 37.81 shares
- Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 30?No 99.5% 28.95 shares