No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$18
Polymarket Trader
0x7Ac67A1555c361A47EafAC1a138cC82c20aB92cA-1772260106206
0x7ac67a1555c361a47eafac1a138cc82c20ab92ca
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $623.39
- Realized PnL
- $1.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 37.3%
- Current value
- $319.36
- Potential payout
- $856.2
- Potential profit
- $536.84
- Multiplier
- 2.68x
- User PnL
- $118.38
Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $245.72
- Potential payout
- $506.63
- Potential profit
- $260.92
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $9.72
No position
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $58.31
- Potential payout
- $94.05
- Potential profit
- $35.74
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $8.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $673.8
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.59
Yes position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.49
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.12
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.11
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.31
Yes position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.04
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.3
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.18
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.34
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.7
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.39
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.09
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.23
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
Yes position
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Khamenei seen in public by February 28?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Yes position
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No 53.2% 94.05 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Yes 48% 416.63 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 22.9% 1,747.54 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 54.5% 12 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 66.3% 100 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 26% 150 shares
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 50,000 shares
- Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 1,267.06 shares
- Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?Yes 47.2% 211.65 shares
- Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?Yes 46.8% 855.42 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 5.5% 239.98 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 5.5% 750 shares