Yes position
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $309.57
- Potential payout
- $41.28K
- Potential profit
- $40.97K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $8.3
Polymarket Trader
nicoco89
@nicoco89poly
0x7ac83882979ccb5665cea83cb269e558b55077cd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.3K
- Realized PnL
- $46.38K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.99K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $138.83
- Potential payout
- $7.12K
- Potential profit
- $6.98K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$12.62
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $5.81K
- Potential profit
- $4.68K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $238.99
No position
Will Tyler Kistner be the Republican Nominee for MN-02?
Ends Aug 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $5.04K
- Potential payout
- $5.23K
- Potential profit
- $188.26
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $414.56
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $94.66
- Potential payout
- $4.51K
- Potential profit
- $4.41K
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$44.02
Yes position
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $32.37
- Potential payout
- $4.32K
- Potential profit
- $4.28K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.37
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $190.85
- Potential payout
- $4.24K
- Potential profit
- $4.05K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$444.45
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Current value
- $2.26K
- Potential payout
- $3.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $87.47
Yes position
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $3.24K
- Potential payout
- $3.62K
- Potential profit
- $379.92
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $119.42
Yes position
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $22.07
- Potential payout
- $3.39K
- Potential profit
- $3.37K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $49.8
- Potential payout
- $3.02K
- Potential profit
- $2.97K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$24.79
Yes position
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $500.52
- Potential payout
- $2.95K
- Potential profit
- $2.45K
- Multiplier
- 5.90x
- User PnL
- $132.78
Yes position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $95.05
- Potential payout
- $2.92K
- Potential profit
- $2.83K
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.46
Yes position
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $2.47K
- Potential payout
- $2.88K
- Potential profit
- $402.63
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $171.31
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $442.94
- Potential payout
- $2.77K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $143.81
No position
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $1.5K
- Potential payout
- $2.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$401.74
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $591.26
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $34.78
No position
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $2.02K
- Potential payout
- $2.29K
- Potential profit
- $262.81
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $486.98
No position
Will Allen Waters be the Republican nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?
Ends Sep 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $2.03K
- Potential payout
- $2.09K
- Potential profit
- $52.13
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $144.94
N
No position
Will Alex Bores win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $1.42K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $580.66
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $1.36K
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $638.18
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $74.95
Yes position
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $14.21
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$59.15
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $327.87
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $133.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.07K
Yes position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.99K
Yes position
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $2.73K
No position
Will there be no coalition by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68K
No position
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6K
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
Yes position
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
Yes position
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.78K
No position
Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
Yes position
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
Yes position
Will Juliette Chesnel-Leroux win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Yes position
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Yes position
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
Next French Prime Minister appointed by September 10?
Ends Sep 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
Yes position
Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
No position
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Yes position
Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?Yes 29% 23.6 shares
- Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?Yes 23.5% 793.5 shares
- Will Alex Bores win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?No 71% 199.72 shares
- Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 71% 40 shares
- Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 71% 141 shares
- Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 70% 240 shares
- Will Adriano Espaillat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?Yes 28% 5 shares
- Will Alex Bores win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?No 71% 500 shares
- Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?Yes 86% 190.16 shares
- Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?Yes 87% 1,737.69 shares
- Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?Yes 86% 271.27 shares
- Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?Yes 85.5% 752.68 shares