Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.23
- Potential profit
- $2.23
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Polymarket Trader
LanceMarcellus
@paolo_cavagnaro
0x7acd9c993842ee0b80a9cd754b915e074948a903
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$2.39
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Bucks position
Bucks vs. Bulls
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 23?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECh) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?Yes 55.7% 2.23 shares
- Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECh) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?No 84% 4.4 shares
- Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?Yes 82% 5.3 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?Yes 64% 2.89 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?No 58% 2.24 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 23?No 99.9% 1,004 shares
- Will a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 83% 0.13 shares
- Will a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 84% 0.13 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 50.2% 20.44 shares