Polymarket Trader

0x7Ad005A8BeB095dE1c9937678DaFA918911B19E3-1775737664981

0x7ad005a8beb095de1c9937678dafa918911b19e3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $215.49
Realized PnL: $1.09K
Win rate: 18.2%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.77K
Potential profit: $34.77K
User PnL: -$49.23

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.9K
Potential profit: $7.9K
User PnL: -$33.99

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.9K
Potential profit: $7.9K
User PnL: -$38.19

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.3K
Potential profit: $6.3K
User PnL: -$26.4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $58.58
Potential payout: $6.17K
Potential profit: $6.11K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $3.08

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 21, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.97K
Potential profit: $3.97K
User PnL: -$36.68

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China on May 17, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.94K
Potential profit: $3.94K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.4K
Potential profit: $3.4K
User PnL: -$10.2

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.27K
Potential profit: $3.27K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.19K
Potential profit: $3.19K
User PnL: -$35.49

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $43.86
Potential payout: $3.03K
Potential profit: $2.98K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$23.14

Yes position

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.02K
Potential profit: $3.02K
User PnL: -$61

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by ≤3.1% in April?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.68K
Potential profit: $2.68K
User PnL: -$33.98

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $65.5
Potential payout: $2.58K
Potential profit: $2.51K
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$125.09

Yes position

Will Trump attend his son's wedding?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $2.3K
User PnL: -$84.76

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $24.15
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.08K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$23.25

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$10.8

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $1.68K
User PnL: -$36.6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $23.4
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.91

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.16

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.1% 4,000 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.1% 3,200 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June?

Yes 0.6% 1,800 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?

Yes 0.3% 3,400 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.4% 2,700 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 1.7% 600 shares
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Yes 0.5% 5 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.3% 3,400 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.4% 2,600 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.1% 10,300 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 2% 886.19 shares