Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $200.83
- Potential profit
- $199.53
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.53
Polymarket Trader
0x7adc...a971
0x7adc818e37d177ae1406bc756bc7285b0775a971
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $109.74
- Realized PnL
- -$28.31
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $16.98
- Potential payout
- $178.75
- Potential profit
- $161.77
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$3.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $11.97
- Potential payout
- $114.01
- Potential profit
- $102.04
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$7.22
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $75.79
- Potential payout
- $81.49
- Potential profit
- $5.7
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $48.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $48.89
- Potential profit
- $48.06
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $2.85
- Potential payout
- $17.8
- Potential profit
- $14.95
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $5.2
- Potential profit
- $5.18
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 11?Yes 44% 7.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?Yes 9.5% 10.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 11?Yes 43% 2.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?Yes 10% 10.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 11?Yes 45% 0.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 11?Yes 45% 4.51 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 11?Yes 45% 1.38 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 11?Yes 45% 1.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?Yes 10.2% 10.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?Yes 11% 9.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?Yes 11% 9.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?Yes 11% 9.45 shares