Whylik

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $49.66
Potential payout: $3.01K
Potential profit: $2.96K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$1.46K

Yes position

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $405.07
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $1.67K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$189.6

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $61.45
Potential payout: $646.88
Potential profit: $585.43
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$61.45

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $55.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $444.25
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $8.42
Potential payout: $443.39
Potential profit: $434.97
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$95.55

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $3.09
Potential payout: $412.65
Potential profit: $409.56
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$155.53

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $401.2
Potential profit: $401.2
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$195.05

Yes position

Brex IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $4.77
Potential payout: $340.83
Potential profit: $336.06
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$24.99

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $54.4
Potential payout: $320
Potential profit: $265.6
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$214

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $258.82
Potential profit: $258.82
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $221.8
Potential profit: $220.25
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$45.36

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $2.28
Potential payout: $198.41
Potential profit: $196.13
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$12.72

Yes position

Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $28.57
Potential payout: $168.04
Potential profit: $139.48
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$1.19

No position

Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?

Implied probability: 47.7%
Current value: $63.93
Potential payout: $134.17
Potential profit: $70.24
Multiplier: 2.10x
User PnL: -$36.07

Yes position

Glean IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $16.12
Potential payout: $119.44
Potential profit: $103.32
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$13.64

Yes position

Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $11.88
Potential payout: $118.78
Potential profit: $106.9
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$17.88

Yes position

Mistral AI IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $10.91
Potential payout: $103.9
Potential profit: $92.99
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$3.97

Yes position

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $31
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $69
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.3
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$14.3

Yes position

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $70.55
Potential profit: $69
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$4.65

Yes position

Deel IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $2.39
Potential payout: $53.12
Potential profit: $50.73
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$25.05

Yes position

OKX IPO in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $5.37
Potential payout: $48.78
Potential profit: $43.41
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$14.63

Yes position

Databricks IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $8.95
Potential payout: $47.08
Potential profit: $38.13
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$20.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.02K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.56K

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.98K

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95K

Yes position

Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64K

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22K

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.21K

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08K

Yes position

US strikes Yemen by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

Yes position

Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31K

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on October 30?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 21, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $910.84

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $886.85

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $879.88

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $829.49

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $824.08

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $809.09

Yes position

Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $803.67

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $767.77

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 29, 2026?