No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $249.38
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- User PnL
- $0.13
Polymarket Trader
Riosdj
0x7ae36179c54a36c4c9f7f84d566c8264bdcc6276
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $287.47
- Realized PnL
- $42.87
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $38.1
- Potential payout
- $38.31
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- User PnL
- $0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 86.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $3.51
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.18
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 1-7?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 6-12?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No 99.5% 168.83 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?No 95.3% 336.45 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?No 97.3% 329.66 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes 99.7% 302.62 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?No 99.9% 300 shares
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.2% 38.31 shares