Yes position
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $55.89
- Potential payout
- $59.14
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $4.89
Polymarket Trader
TheLaziest
0x7ae71c0aea873810d1d20a469eb0778509cb2b0d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $213.89
- Realized PnL
- $272.75
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $56.83
- Potential profit
- $56.81
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$21.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $28.55
- Potential payout
- $28.77
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- User PnL
- $13.25
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $14.87
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $11.45
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $17.39
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $2.39
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $5.31
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $15.52
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $20.45
- Potential profit
- $20.44
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.99
Yes position
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $15.6
- Potential payout
- $16.25
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $13.45
- Potential payout
- $13.63
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $6.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $10.32
- Potential payout
- $13.49
- Potential profit
- $3.17
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $4.25
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $9.81
- Potential payout
- $12.66
- Potential profit
- $2.85
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $9.82
- Potential payout
- $12.27
- Potential profit
- $2.45
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $10.06
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $1.31
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.28
- Potential profit
- $8.27
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.19
- Potential profit
- $8.18
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.31
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.8%
- Current value
- $6.63
- Potential payout
- $7.39
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $1.63
Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.95
- Potential profit
- $5.95
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $4.81
- Potential payout
- $5.38
- Potential profit
- $0.56
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $4.61
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $0.66
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.3%
- Current value
- $4.44
- Potential payout
- $5.14
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $3.26
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.16
- Potential profit
- $3.16
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.11
Yes position
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.52
Under position
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.59
Southampton FC position
Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.41
Up position
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.48
Paris Saint-Germain FC position
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.85
Moerani Bouzige position
Wuning 2: Masamichi Imamura vs Moerani Bouzige
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.94
Hamad Medjedovic position
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.22
No position
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $5.94
Up position
XRP Up or Down - June 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.88
Under position
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.84
No position
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67
San-Hui Shin position
Wuning 2: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs San-Hui Shin
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 27?No 99.9% 27.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 27?No 99.9% 5.46 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 27?No 99.9% 5.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 27?Yes 0.2% 6.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 27?Yes 24% 6.79 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 27?No 85% 5.64 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 27?No 85% 5.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 27?Yes 45% 6.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 27?No 88% 5.3 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 27?No 89% 5.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 27?No 81.2% 5.6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 27?Yes 62% 7.02 shares